WEEK 18 WEDNESDAY #KPI BASKETBALL (as of 3/11/14)

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#KPI Headlines:

  • #KPI Excel resumes ranked by #KPI value per game (through March 11), #KPI by Team (through March 11) and #KPI by Conference (through March 11).  Notes on Rule Changes are also available. Note the discrepancy between #KPI and NCAA data is how games against Non D-I schools are counted (3.9% of the data)
  • Though early, scoring in conference tournament play is at 69.07 PPG, down slightly (0.10%) from the 69.15 PPG averaged during regular season conference play.  In 2012-13, teams averaged 66.7 PPG during regular season conference play and 65.3 PPG in conference tournament action.
  • The #KPI math currently matches 64/68 teams in the bracket averages at bracketmatrix.com with an average seed difference of 1.00.  28 teams match seed lines and 47 are within 1 seed line.  Two of the four teams different are a result of how the MAC and Conference USA AQs are currently being identified.
  • Assuming Milwaukee doesn’t become a 12 seed or higher (currently projected a 15 seed), they cannot play in Milwaukee.  Marquette is the host school, but the bracketing principles include that “the committee shall not place teams seeded on the first four lines at a potential ‘home-crowd disadvantage’ in the second round.”
  • Barring significant upsets in other conference tournaments, pencil Mount St. Mary’s and the SWAC AQ into Dayton as 16 seed first round games.

#KPI NCAA Tournament Field of 68 (through March 11): Automatic bids from the 32 conferences are determined by the top remaining seed if the AQ has not already been decided.  This list is comprised purely by math with no scrubbing. Conference tournament brackets are linked below.

  1. PAC-12 / #1 Arizona (28-3, 15-3 Pac-12), .365 / Best Win: at San Diego State .98
  2. SEC / #2 Florida (29-2, 18-0 SEC), .335 / Best Win: at Kentucky .79
  3. BIG 12 / #3 Kansas (23-8, 14-4 Big 12), .325 / Best Win: at Iowa State .83
  4. #4 Wisconsin (25-6, 12-6 Big Ten), .322 / Best Win: at Virginia .94
  5. MVC / #5 Wichita State (34-0, 21-0 MVC), .320 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .90
  6. BIG EAST / #6 Villanova (28-3, 16-2 Big East), .317 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .82
  7. BIG TEN / #7 Michigan (23-7, 15-3 Big Ten), .281 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .91
  8. #8 Syracuse (27-4, 14-4 ACC), .276 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .74
  9. #9 Creighton (24-6, 14-4 Big East), .270 / Best Win: at Villanova 1.09
  10. ACC / #10 Virginia (25-6, 16-2 ACC), .269 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .75
  11. #11 Duke (24-7, 13-5 ACC), .258 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .81
  12. ATLANTIC 10 / #12 Saint Louis (26-5, 13-3 A-10), .247 / Best Win: at Massachusetts .81
  13. #13 New Mexico (24-6, 15-3 Mountain West), .247 / Best Win: at New Mexico State .73
  14. #14 Louisville (26-5, 15-3 American), .246 / Best Win: at Cincinnati .87
  15. MOUNTAIN WEST / #15 San Diego State (27-3, 16-2 Mountain West), .246 / Best Win: at Kansas .86
  16. AMERICAN / #16 Cincinnati (26-5, 15-3 American), .243 / Best Win: at Louisville .89
  17. #17 Massachusetts (23-7, 10-6 A-10), .243 / Best Win: at George Washington .81
  18. #18 VCU (24-7, 12-4 A-10), .243 / Best Win: at Virginia .87
  19. #19 Ohio State (23-8, 10-8 Big Ten), .243 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .88
  20. #20 Iowa State (23-7, 11-7 Big 12), .240 / Best Win: at BYU .69
  21. #21 Michigan State (23-8, 12-6 Big Ten), .237 / Best Win: at Texas .76
  22. WCC / #22 Gonzaga (28-6, 18-3 WCC), .229 / Best Win: at St. Mary’s-CA .77
  23. #23 North Carolina (23-8, 13-5 ACC), .229 / Best Win: at Michigan State .85
  24. #24 Oklahoma (23-8, 12-6 Big 12), .226 / Best Win: at Texas .72
  25. #25 UCLA (23-8, 12-6 Pac-12), .222 / Best Win: at Oregon .76
  26. #26 Oregon (22-8, 10-8 Pac-12), .220 / Best Win: at UCLA .77
  27. #27 Kentucky (22-9, 12-6 SEC), .218 / Best Win: at Missouri .67
  28. #28 Texas (22-9, 11-7 Big 12), .205 / Best Win: at North Carolina .77
  29. #29 Connecticut (24-7, 12-6 American), .204 / Best Win: at Memphis .79
  30. #30 Dayton (22-9, 10-6 A-10), .202 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .90
  31. #31 George Washington (23-7, 11-5 A-10), .201 / Best Win: at Manhattan .78
  32. #32 Baylor (21-10, 9-9 Big 12), .198 / Best Win: at Oklahoma State .67
  33. SUMMIT / #33 North Dakota State (25-6, 14-2 Summit), .193 / Best Win: at Western Michigan .66
  34. IVY / #34 Harvard (26-4, 13-1 Ivy), .186 / Best Win: at Boston U. .74
  35. #35 Pittsburgh (23-8, 11-7 ACC), .183 / Best Win: at N.C. State .61
  36. #36 Colorado (21-10, 10-8 Pac-12), .183 / Best Win: at Stanford .64
  37. #37 BYU (23-11, 15-6 WCC), .178 / Best Win: at Stanford .65
  38. #38 Southern Miss (26-5, 13-3 C-USA), .177 / Best Win: at North Dakota State .82
  39. #39 Toledo (26-5, 14-4 MAC), .176 / Best Win: at Akron .61
  40. #40 Oklahoma State (20-11, 8-10 Big 12), .176 / Best Win: vs. Louisiana Tech .69
  41. #41 Memphis (23-8, 12-6 American), .175 / Best Win: at Louisville .91
  42. #42 Saint Joseph’s (21-9, 11-5 A-10), .174 / Best Win: at Dayton .73
  43. #43 Stanford (19-11, 10-8 Pac-12), .173 / Best Win: at Connecticut .80
  44. SOUTHLAND / #44 Stephen F. Austin (29-2, 18-0 Southland), .169 / Best Win: at Sam Houston State .64
  45. #45 Arizona State (21-10, 10-8 Pac-12), .167 / Best Win: vs. Arizona .65
  46. #46 Iowa (20-11, 9-9 Big Ten), .166 / Best Win: at Ohio State .82
  47. #47 Kansas State (20-11, 10-8 Big 12), .163 / Best Win: vs. Gonzaga .72
  48. #48 Nebraska (19-11, 11-7 Big Ten), .162 / Best Win: at Michigan State .83
  49. #49 California (19-12, 10-8 Pac-12), .161 / Best Win: at Oregon .80
  50. #50 Green Bay (24-6, 14-3 Horizon), .160 / Best Win: at Cleveland State .67
  51. CONFERENCE USA / #58 Louisiana Tech (25-6, 13-3 C-USA), .145 / Best Win: at Oklahoma .77
  52. MAAC / #65 Manhattan (25-7, 18-5 MAAC), .129 / Best Win: at Canisius .56
  53. SUN BELT / #70 Georgia State (24-7, 17-1 Sun Belt), .115 / Best Win: at Western Kentucky .63
  54. COLONIAL / #77 Delaware (25-9, 17-2 Colonial), .107 / Best Win: at William & Mary .56
  55. PATRIOT / #81 Boston U. (24-9, 17-3 Patriot), .102 / Best Win: vs. UC-Irvine .64
  56. MAC / #82 Western Michigan (21-9, 14-4 MAC), .101 / Best Win: at Ohio .69
  57. ATLANTIC SUN / #87 Mercer (26-8, 17-4 Atlantic Sun), .098 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .53
  58. OHIO VALLEY / #92 Eastern Kentucky (24-9, 14-5 OVC), .088 / Best Win: at IPFW .69
  59. BIG WEST / #99 UC-Irvine (22-10, 13-3 Big West), .076 / Best Win: at Hawaii .54
  60. MEAC / #107 North Carolina Central (25-5, 15-1 MEAC), .069 / Best Win: at N.C. State .60
  61. HORIZON / #133 Milwaukee (21-13, 11-9 Horizon), .040 / Best Win: at Green Bay .82
  62. SOUTHERN / #145 Wofford (20-12, 14-5 Southern), .024 / Best Win: vs. Winthrop .48
  63. WAC / #148 Utah Valley (19-10, 13-3 WAC), .023 / Best Win: New Mexico State .44
  64. AMERICA EAST / #161 Stony Brook (23-9, 15-3 America East), .010 / Best Win: vs. Vermont .38
  65. BIG SKY / #166 Weber State (17-11, 14-6 Big Sky), .008 / Best Win: North Dakota .29
  66. BIG SOUTH / #170 Coastal Carolina (21-12, 14-5 Big South), .007 / Best Win: at Radford .46
  67. NORTHEAST / #230 Mount St. Mary’s (16-16, 12-7 Northeast), -.051 / Best Win: at Robert Morris .56
  68. SWAC / #252 Texas Southern (16-14, 12-6 SWAC), -.068 / Best Win; at Southern U. .49

#KPI NIT Tournament Field of 32 (through March 11): Automatic bids are awarded to teams who won their regular season conference title, but did not win their conference tournament.

  1. (NIT 1) #51 Tennessee (20-11, 11-7 SEC), .157 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .69
  2. (NIT 1) #52 SMU (23-8, 12-6 American), .153 / Best Win: at Connecticut .85
  3. (NIT 1) #53 Missouri (21-10, 9-9 SEC), .152 / Best Win: at Arkansas .66
  4. (NIT 1) OHIO VALLEY / #54 Belmont (24-9, 15-3 OVC), .151 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .78
  5. (NIT 2) #55 Arkansas (21-10, 10-8 SEC), .148 / Best Win: at Kentucky .76
  6. (NIT 2) #56 Florida State (18-12, 9-9 ACC), .148 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .76
  7. (NIT 2) #58 Minnesota (19-12, 8-10 Big Ten), .145 / Best Win: vs. Wisconsin .62
  8. (NIT 2) #59 Illinois (18-13, 7-11 Big Ten), .144 / Best Win: at Michigan State .83
  9. (NIT 3) #60 Xavier (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .144 / Best Win: vs. Cincinnati .79
  10. (NIT 3) #61 St. John’s (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .135 / Best Win: at Providence .63
  11. (NIT 3) #62 N.C. State (19-12, 9-9 ACC), .132 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .77
  12. (NIT 3) #63 Providence (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .132 / Best Win: vs. Creighton .60
  13. (NIT 4) #64 Georgetown (17-13, 8-10 Big East), .130 / Best Win: vs. VCU .65
  14. (NIT 4) #66 St. Mary’s-CA (22-11, 12-8 WCC), .128 / Best Win: vs. North Dakota State .57
  15. (NIT 4) #67 Ohio (22-10, 12-7 MAC), .127 / Best Win: at Akron .63
  16. (NIT 4) #68 Middle Tennessee (23-8, 13-3 C-USA), .124 / Best Win: vs. Southern Miss .61
  17. (NIT 5) #69 Clemson (19-11, 10-8 ACC), .115 / Best Win: at Florida State .59
  18. (NIT 5) #71 New Mexico State (23-9, 12-4 WAC), .114 / Best Win: at New Mexico .87
  19. (NIT 5) #72 LSU (18-12, 9-9 SEC), .112 / Best Win: vs. Saint Joseph’s .59
  20. (NIT 5) MAAC / #73 Iona (22-10, 19-4 MAAC), .112 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .55
  21. (NIT 6) #74 San Francisco (21-11, 14-6 WCC), .110 / Best Win: vs. Montana .42
  22. (NIT 6) #75 West Virginia (17-14, 9-9 Big 12), .110 / Best Win: at Baylor .69
  23. (NIT 6) #76 Utah (20-10, 9-9 Pac-12), .108 / Best Win: at California .59
  24. (NIT 6) #77 Richmond (18-13, 8-8 A-10), .107 / Best Win: at William & Mary .55
  25. (NIT 7) #79 Maryland (17-14, 9-9 ACC), .105 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .57
  26. (NIT 7) #80 Georgia (18-12, 12-6 SEC), .104 / Best Win: at Missouri .67
  27. (NIT 7) #83 UTEP (22-9, 12-4 C-USA), .101 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .77
  28. (NIT 7) AMERICA EAST / #112 Vermont (22-10, 16-2 America East), .061 / Best Win: vs. Yale .41
  29. (NIT 8) SOUTHERN / #130 Davidson (20-12, 16-2 Southern), .042 / Best Win: at Wofford .56
  30. (NIT 8) NORTHEAST / #144 Robert Morris (21-13, 16-3 Northeast), .025 / Best Win: vs. St. Francis-NY .46
  31. (NIT 8) ATLANTIC SUN / #147 Florida Gulf Coast (22-12, 16-5 Atlantic Sun), .024 / Best Win: at Mercer .49
  32. (NIT 8) BIG SOUTH / #167 High Point (16-14, 12-5 Big South), .008 / Best Win: at William & Mary .54

#KPI Top Games for Wednesday, March 12:

  1. #104 Oregon State vs. #26 Oregon (Wednesday 9 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network)
  2. #102 Texas Tech vs. #40 Oklahoma State (Wednesday 7 p.m. ET, ESPN Full Court/Big 12 Network)
  3. #91 Washington vs. #76 Utah (Wednesday 3 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network)
  4. #163 USC vs. #36 Colorado (Wednesday 5:30 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network)
  5. #146 American at #81 Boston U. (Wednesday 7:30 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network)

Notes on Rule Changes: Note that any discrepancy between #KPI and NCAA data is how games against Non Division-I schools are counted (approximately 3.9% of the data)

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